Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.181041 0.203900 0.227950 0.255084 0.284789 0.316264 0.352076
2025-04-27 0.155061 0.186688 0.221726 0.263226 0.310836 0.363539 0.426080
2025-05-04 0.132982 0.169825 0.212520 0.265237 0.328131 0.400306 0.488906
2025-05-11 0.118045 0.158904 0.208178 0.271252 0.349063 0.441095 0.557288
2025-05-18 0.106739 0.150755 0.205780 0.278512 0.370900 0.483061 0.628099
2025-05-25 0.093806 0.138900 0.197282 0.276862 0.380790 0.510076 0.681003
2025-06-01 0.083531 0.129325 0.190588 0.276498 0.391557 0.537868 0.735155
2025-06-08 0.074632 0.120620 0.184099 0.275530 0.400893 0.563563 0.786901
2025-06-15 0.069185 0.116212 0.182958 0.281381 0.419116 0.600983 0.854554
2025-06-22 0.062709 0.109590 0.178042 0.281399 0.429016 0.627319 0.908019
2025-06-29 0.056944 0.103447 0.173245 0.281058 0.438049 0.652399 0.960140
2025-07-06 0.051857 0.097852 0.168759 0.280704 0.446744 0.676956 1.011888
2025-07-13 0.047993 0.094005 0.166814 0.284211 0.461438 0.710765 1.078083
2025-07-20 0.045418 0.092062 0.167648 0.291864 0.482368 0.753864 1.158297
2025-07-27 0.041799 0.087947 0.164677 0.293366 0.494063 0.784015 1.220985
2025-08-03 0.039430 0.085811 0.164729 0.299510 0.512834 0.824740 1.299581
2025-08-10 0.037537 0.084350 0.165757 0.307160 0.534055 0.869487 1.384911
2025-08-17 0.034171 0.079767 0.161120 0.305253 0.540239 0.892081 1.438520
2025-08-24 0.031362 0.075964 0.157531 0.304794 0.548517 0.917828 1.497146
2025-08-31 0.028723 0.072214 0.153741 0.303709 0.555612 0.941808 1.553524
2025-09-07 0.027351 0.070928 0.154298 0.310021 0.574753 0.984472 1.638534
2025-09-14 0.025250 0.067873 0.151355 0.310030 0.583481 1.011229 1.700088
2025-09-21 0.023283 0.064890 0.148317 0.309654 0.591449 1.036870 1.760353